PROS: Has good size and speed as a long-stride runner. Has a nice hands and body control. Goes up in the air to make the grab and can adjust to throws. Uses his body to shield defenders. Can track the deep ball as well as make plays on screens. Shows some shiftiness and power as a runner after the catch.
CONS: Lacks ideal burst and struggles to get separation despite his long speed. Needs to get a better release. Inconsistent blocker that is lacking in effort at times. Needs to do a better job finishing his blocks and getting position. Will drop some passes from time to time.
OVERVIEW: Productive in Missouri's spread attack when on the field. But missed time both as a sophomore and junior because of a knee injury. Had his best year as a senior, finishing with 81 catches for 1238 yards and 11 touchdowns. That exceeded his production in the previous 3 years combined. Gets a lot of work in the slot and gets a lot of screens thrown his way. He suffered another knee injury during Senior Bowl, but is expected to be 100% by the time camps roll around.
NFL FORECAST: Alexander reminds me a lot of Michael Jenkins. He has similar size, and his long speed is impressive, but he lacks the ideal burst to get separation. But like Jenkins he can use his size to make catches in traffic. He'll be a nice possession receiver that occasionally will be able to make plays downfield. But unless he improves his route-running, I'm not sure he'll be able to consistently get separation to be more than a complementary option. He should be a solid No. 3 at the least, able to work both inside and outside in most offenses. Durability is a concern because of the two major knee surgeries on the same knee in three years. I think if you give him two years to refine his skills, he'll be able to produce for you as a starter.
ATL FORECAST: Alexander has a chance to push Jenkins for a role as a complementary receiver to White down the road. He probably wouldn't be a significant challenger right away, and would only have limited production his first two or so years. But by his third year, he should be ready to start. But it remains to be seen if he'll be a significant upgrade over Jenkins. He may be a bit more consistent than Jenkins, but he wouldn't bring anything more to the table. He can improve as a blocker, just needs to show more effort.
VALUE: The earliest he should be taken is the middle of the third round, but the knee issues probably make him a better target in the early part of the fourth round.
1-poor, 2-weak, 3-above average,4-very good, 5-elite
AFTER CATCH: 3.0
BODY CONTROL: 3.5
"Vincere scis, Hannibal, victoria uti nescis" -- Maharbal, 216 B.C.E.