Texas A&M Senior
Has a strong arm that can fire some lasers and fight some tight windows. A good athlete that can make plays with his legs. Deceptive quickness and burst as a runner. able to extend plays and drives. Does a nice job side-stepping pressure and finding throwing lanes within the pocket. Does a nice job stepping up in the pocket, locating his read or check down ver the middle. Does a nice job keeping his eyes downfield. Able to roll left or right and deliver the ball downfield. Has nice footwork when he works from under center. Shows good accuracy and placement on many of his throws. SHows anticipation and ability to lead his receivers and throw away from defenders. Does a nice job making throws that allow his receivers to go up and get the ball, especially his bigger targets. Shows touch and good placement on many of his vertical throws. Able to make the back-shoulder throw. Can fit the ball well with good placement when trying to deliver with touch between two defensive backs downfield. Will use the pump fake to try and move the defender.
Inconsistent with his decision making and accuracy at times. Will lead his receivers too much and make them work too hard for some easier throws. Can be late on reads which allow defenders to jump the routes to make big plays. Throws too many interceptions where he doesn't see a sitting underneath defender in zone. Throws inside a bit too much at times when throwing outside the numbers. Will force too many throws into tighter windows, leading to some turnovers. Throws into coverage deep down the seam. Needs to show more consistent touch and placement on his deep throws. Not an explosive runner. Doesn't always show great ability to anticipate and avoid pressure and blitzes. Doesn't always set his feet on the rollouts. Misses too many opportunities, particularly in the redzone.
Tannehill began his career as a wide receiver and was productive in the role, unable to beat out Jerod Johnson. But when Johnson really struggled during the first half of his senior year, he was plugged into the lineup and A&M won 5 straight games with him as the starter. He came back as a senior and showed improvement and a sort of comfort and subtlety that you would expect out of a guy that played the position for many years rather than one, but it didn't always translate to results on the field. You see flashes of ability with Tannehill, with his arm strength, athleticism, and accuracy make him a complete package. But the inconsistency and the fact that despite his ability it didn't always net positive results not he field makes you believe he needs much more seasoning. He's still raw, but flashes the sort of intangibles that you really like his potential if he gets a chance to sit and learn. He played quarterback in high school and was a solid dual threat. He's also noted for his intelligence and work ethic and the fact that he was able to instantly win over the locker room as a junior when he was plugged into the starting lineup. Part of that was from his freshman year when he lost the job to Johnson and without any issue moved to wide receiver for the betterment of the team.
2011 GAMES WATCHED
(9/24) vs. Oklahoma St: Short (<10 yds): 16 of 22 (73%), 130 yds (5.9 YPA), 62 YAC, 1 TD, 0 INTS, 2 poor throws, 1 drops; Deep (>10 yds): 9 of 22 (41%), 157 yds (7.1 YPA), 35 YAC, 0 TDs, 3 INTs, 5 poor throws, 1 drops
(10/1) vs. Arkansas: Short: 18 of 23 (78%), 139 yds (6.0 YPA), 99 YAC, 0 TDS, 0 INTS, 1 poor throw, 2 drops; Deep: 7 of 11 (64%), 108 yds (9.8 YPA), 18 YAC, 0 TDs, 1 INTs, 1 poor throw, 0 drops, 2 throwaways
(11/24) vs. Texas: Short: 14 of 23 (61%), 111 yds (4.8 YPA), 53 YAC, 2 TDs, 1 INT, 2 poor throws, 2 drops; Deep: 5 of 27 (19%), 101 yds (3.7 YPA), 23 YAC, 0 TDS, 2 INTs, 8 poor throws, 3 drops, 3 throwaways
(12/31) vs. Northwestern: Short: 20 of 28 (71%), 160 yds (5.7 YPA), 154 YAC, 0 TDS, 0 INTs, 2 poor throws, 2 drops, 2 throwaways; Deep: 7 of 12 (58%), 169 yds (14.1 YPA), 19 YAC, 1 TDs, 1 INTs, 3 poor throws, 1 drop
2011: 13 GP/13 GS (7-6 record), 327 comp., 531 att., 61.6%, 3744 yds, 7.1 YPA, 29 TDs, 15 INTs; 306 rush yds, 4 TDS
2010: 13/6 (5-1)-152-234-65.0-1638-7.0-13-6; 76 rush yds, 1 TDs; 11 rec., 143 yds, 13.0 avg, 1 TDS
2009: 13/0-4-8-50.0-60-7.5-0-0; 46-609-13.2-4
2008: 11/6-1-1-100.0-8-8.0-0-0; 55-844-15.3-5
The key word with Tannehill is upside. When you see his skill set, it projects very well to the NFL game, and reminds me a lot of Aaron Rodgers. But like Rodgers, Tannehill needs time to develop. Rodgers sitting for three years behind Favre I think was instrumental to his current success in the league. If Tannehill got that sort of time to develop behind a veteran and get comfortable running an offense, I think he could be similarly a top-rated and potentially elite passer in a short while later. But he probably doesn't have that sort of luxury at this point in the league when the development of quarterbacks has been sped up so much in recent years. I think a team that plugs him into the starting lineup immediately is making a mistake. I think he can handle it mentally, but I think he's several years from having success as a starter. And the problem will be all that mediocre tape he has early in his career will sour a fan base to him and make it harder for a coaching staff to show the patience they need to. He's one of those guys that may be a fairly below average and inconsistent starter his first two or so years in the league, but by the time his third year takes off he can start to blossom. But that's not guaranteed. There is some Mark Sanchez potential with him, who also was a fairly green quarterback coming into the league with only 16 career starts. Like Sanchez, Tannehill just might be too inconsistent to really blossom as a starter if he's thrown to the wolves too early. It could stunt his growth. Given the unlikelihood he'll get multiple years to sit ideally, he'll sit for at least for a full year like Carson Palmer years back. If he lands on a team like Miami, that he'll have some continuity on offense with Mike Sherman being the offensive coordinator, so you think he might be able to make it with half a year sitting the bench. I think at worst he'll be an average starter that may wind up blossoming later in his career similar to a guy like Rich Gannon. I do think at some point Tannehill is going to be a successful NFL quarterback because I like his intangibles, and he showed to be a very quick study at Texas A&M. I'm just not sure it'll immediately translate to success early on. A team that is patient and doesn't put too much on his plate, and let him still develop behind a strong running game and/or defense would be the best situation for him. He has the instincts to be a Top 10 QB, but just doesn't have the experience and feel yet for the position to think that's immediately on the horizon.
Aaron Rodgers, Packers.
Tannehill would be a good developmental insurance policy behind Matt Ryan. Unlike Ryan, he's got the sort of arm strength and athleticism that clearly distinguishes him from the game. And at least in Atlanta, he wouldn't be asked to play immediately and thus can be developed at his own pace. In such an event that he was on the Falcons, he could potentially be a nice fallback option in case Ryan doesn't blossom over the next two to three years and be a good alternative that due to his physical skills might be better suited to the conservative style of offense the Falcons have displayed up until now. More than likely however, he would be traded at some point down the line and merit the Falcons a future first round pick.
Tannehill has first round ability, but would normally be a late first round pick because it's going to take some time before he reaches his potential. But because of the pressure to develop good quarterbacks, he'll likely get drafted much earlier. He is not really worth a Top 10 pick because he's mostly a boom/bust guy. But a Top 20 pick for a team that was willing to sit him at least a year.
1-pathetic, 2-poor, 3-weak, 4-below average, 5-average, 6-above average, 7-good, 8-very good, 9-excellent, 10-elite
Arm Strength: 8.0
Decision Making: 6.0
Pocket Awareness: 8.0
"Vincere scis, Hannibal, victoria uti nescis" -- Maharbal, 216 B.C.E.