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 Post subject: Kellen Moore, QB, Boise State
PostPosted: Fri Feb 03, 2012 6:16 pm 
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Joined: Thu Dec 23, 2004 3:03 pm
Posts: 25567
Location: North Carolina
KELLEN MOORE
6-0/197
Boise State Senior
40: 5.00e

PROS:

Shows good anticipation and finds receivers before they come out of their breaks. Is accurate, able to lead his receivers with lob throws and throws guys open with good placement away from the defender. Shows good accuracy and placement on the ball even when he doesn't set his feet. Shows touch on his lob throws. Shows ability to slide and avoid pressure, and does a good job recognizing the blitz and finding his hot reads. Usually keeps his eyes downfield to locate the open receiver when on the move. Shows ability to step up in the pocket to avoid the rusher off the edge and find the throwing lane. Comfortable and capable going to more than one progression. Can use the pump fake to move the safety. Makes good decisions with the ball.

CONS:

Lacks height and arm strength. Doesn't really show the ability to drive the ball downfield, and struggles with the deep ball when forced to throw beyond 20 yards on a line. Receivers have to wait on the deeper throws and passes to the sideline. Even when he steps into his throws, his arm strength and zip are limited. Fades away and doesn't do a good job setting his feet and stepping into his throws as a passer. Works mainly out of tee shotgun and tends to even take deeper drops there. Needs a lot of spacing in order to move around and avoid pressure. Struggles when he faces interior pressure and his eye level dips. Floats the majority of his throws, and you don't like his ability to fit tight windows. Can struggle to reset his feet at times when he's stepping up in the pocket. Not really a threat to make plays with his legs when he does tuck it to run. Can press at times when the game gets ahead of him.

OVERVIEW:

Moore is a super smart quarterback and a good leader of one of the most productive and consistent offenses we've seen in recent memory. But he's limited by his physical tools. His arm strength and lack of height hurt because you think with the muddled pocket and tighter windows he'll face at the next level, he'll struggle to make the majority of the throws. From the neck up, he's second to none as far as a QB prospect goes, but it's his ability to project to the next level from the neck down that hurts his stock.

2011 GAMES WATCHED:

(9/3) at Georgia: Short (<10 yds): 22 of 24 (92%), 177 yds (7.4 YPA), 115 YAC, 1 TDs, 0 INTs, 1 poor throw, 0 drops; Deep (>10 yds): 6 of 9 (67%), 81 yds (9.0 YPA), 18 YAC, 1 TD, 1 INT, 3 poor throws, 0 drops
(9/16) at Toledo: Short: 20 of 27 (74%), 223 yds (8.3 YPA), 166 YAC, 2 TDs, 0 INTs, 2 poor throws, 2 drops; Deep: 12 of 16 (75%), 232 yds (14.5 YPA), 27 YAC, 3 TDs, 1 INT, 2 poor throws, 0 drops
(11/2) vs. TCU: Short: 22 of 23 (96%), 158 yds (6.9 YPA), 92 YAC, 0 TDs, 0 INTs, 0 poor throws, 0 drops; Deep: 6 of 13 (46%), 161 yds (12.4 YPA), 15 YAC, 2 TDs, 0 INTs, 5 poor throws, 0 drops
(11/19) at San Diego St: Short: 18 of 22 (82%), 137 yds (6.2 YPA), 79 YAC, 2 TDs, 1 INT, 1 poor throw, 0 drops; Deep: 10 of 18 (56%), 223 yds (12.4 YPA), 35 YAC, 2 TDs, 0 INTs, 4 poor throws, 3 drops

CAREER STATS:

2011: 13 GP/13 GS (12-1 record), 326 comp., 439 att., 74.3%, 3800 yds, 8.7 YPA, 43 TDs, 9 INTs; -66 rushing yds, 0 TDs
2010: 13/13 (12-1)-273-383-71.3-3845-10.0-35-6; -32-1, 1 rec, 7 yds, 1 TD
2009: 14/14 (14-0)-277-431-64.3-3536-8.2-39-3; -5-1
2008: 13/13 (12-1)-281-405-69.4-3486-8.6-25-10; -30-1
2007: redshirt

NFL FORECAST:

Moore has the ability from the neck up to be an NFL passer. He's smart, accurate, has very good anticipation. But the question is whether his physical tools will allow him to take advantage of those abilities. The big key for him is improving the arm strength, which is limited. He can make the short and intermediate throws without much incident, but once you start getting more than 15 or so yards down the field, his ability to throw into those tighter windows becomes questionable. In college, in Boise State's spread attack he could just lob throws over linebackers and under safeties. But in the NFL the game speeds up and the defenders get better and they will break up those passes fairly easily. Now, if he can improve his arm strength, those are throws that he can now make. But he's used to getting a big open pocket in college and with the confined space of the NFL pockets, his lack of height and ability to find throwing lanes is questionable. He knows how to move and slide a bit to avoid pressure, but he's going to need to play in a shotgun-heavy offense to help give him more space that his short stature won't allow in a confined pocket. He struggled quite a bit when you brought interior pressure, and he became more of your average QB when that was the case. I think he can improve his arm strength, but not to any degree where it's going to anything more than below average. And he's not going to be able to function in most NFL offenses. He'll have to play in an offense that works predominantly inside the numbers, where he has good slot receivers and tight ends that he can locate over the middle. More than likely, this is probably what will prevent Moore from being a starting QB. Teams will just have to work around his skillset too much that it's hard to see any team really committing to him long-term. He is what you'd want as a backup because he processes information very well for a college QB, and should be able to digest even a complex NFL offense relatively quickly. If he goes to a team like the Saints, that with Drew Brees and Chase Daniel, know how to work with shorter QBs, because they use a lot of shotgun, have weapons in the middle of the field, he can make a really good backup. And by the time his second contract rolls around he might make a decent stopgap starter for a team that is trying to build a very similar-styled offense. He reminds me a lot of Daniel, that is clearly limited as a starter, but can still be a competent fill-in reserve for the short-term. And if he doesn't stick in the pros, then he can always become an excellent coach.

ATL FORECAST:

Moore could come in right away and grasp the Falcons offense and compete as a reserve. But he's not going to win that job because he needs more development physically. He needs to get into an NFL weight room. And he's just not a good fit for the Falcons vertical offense because he won't be able to make all of the throws. While you would love to have his brain in the film rooms, he's not really going to be anything more than a No. 3 guy here in Atlanta because of his limited upside in the offense.

VALUE:

Moore is worth drafting because you know he can process the NFL game, something that very few rookies can. But because his ability to make all of the throws and fit in all NFL offenses, he'll be a late round pick. He's a guy that probably could merit as high as a fifth or sixth round pick, but only for a team that is willing to sit him behind an established starter like a team like New Orleans.

SKILLS:
1-pathetic, 2-poor, 3-weak, 4-below average, 5-average, 6-above average, 7-good, 8-very good, 9-excellent, 10-elite

Arm Strength: 3.0
Accuracy: 8.5
Mobility: 5.0
Decision Making: 9.0
Mechanics: 5.5
Pocket Awareness: 7.0
Intangibles: 8.0

_________________
"Vincere scis, Hannibal, victoria uti nescis" -- Maharbal, 216 B.C.E.


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