Texas Tech Senior
Has good size and nice arm strength to make all of the throws. Steps up and can deliver the ball with zip over the middle and fit some tight windows on the slant. Shows some anticipation on some of his throws. Able to go to his second read and through his progressions at times, and can make the checkdown throw. Shows some ability to pick up yards with his legs when the pass breaks down. Can step up his play in the fourth quarter.
His accuracy can be erratic, probably due to iffy mechanics and footwork. Working out of the shotgun makes him a catch and release guy, and doesn't really do a lot of work shifting his weight and tends to be a flat-footed guy. Will throw off his back foot, particularly when blitzed or pressured. Has a bit of an elongated release, at times dipping the ball a bit on a windup and at other times having a bit of a three-quarters release. Leads to inconsistency on how much velocity is on the ball when it leaves his hand. Not that comfortable when you force him to move around the pocket or extend the play outside of it, as he is not that good when throwing on the run. Doesn't really have the big arm to fit all the tight windows. Will force some passes. Doesn't make a lot of throws down the field and inconsistent with his touch there.
Potts has NFL-caliber tools with nice size, smarts, and arm strength. But he needs his mechanics, footwork, and release tweaked or re-tooled to really think he's going to be an effective NFL passer coming from Texas Tech's wide-open spread offense. He makes a lot of easy throws in it on outs, comebacks, and hitches, and isn't super accurate with those throws. Even if he is developed, he's probably more of an NFL backup than a guy that can be a starter. As a junior, he led the team to a 6-4 record as a starter, having missed time due to concussion midseason. He finished the year, completing 65.7% of his 470 attempts for 3440 yards, 22 TDs, and 13 INTs. Started all but 1 game as senior, leading them to a 7-5 record. But the start he missed, he returned at halftime and led them to a comeback win over Missouri (meaning he was effectively 8-5 as a starter). Finished year with 67% completions on 551 attempts for 3726 yards, 35 TDs, and 10 INTs.
Getting used to playing in a dropback pro-style offense is going to take time for him to develop. Teams will have the tweak and refine his mechanics all the while. He does show some ability with his footwork when he drops back on 3-step drops out of the shotgun, but his footwork is going to need some work there. His accuracy isn't that great. I think it can improve with some mechanical work, but it won't ever be great. He just misses on too many easy throws from time to time. He has a nice arm, but like he did in college, the NFL offense he plays in will likely have to rely heavily on the short passing game. He just doesn't have the accuracy and arm strength that you want him throwing the ball 20+ yards down the field on a regular basis. He's a bit too erratic for my tastes. I think he's smart and capable enough that if he can get comfortable in an offense, he can make a capable No. 2 starter down the road, but he's just doesn't seem to have the "it" about him to make me think he has much of any upside as a starter. And because of his development time, he might have trouble sticking early on because many teams won't really have the patience for a guy without starter's upside. So unless a team is prepared to let him sit for three or so years as the No. 3 guy, he's not a great fit for everyone. The bottom line is that Potts can play in the NFL, but there's nothing special about him to make you think that he will.
Potts is a decent option as a fourth arm for the Falcons. He's not really a threat to take Wilson's job, and probably is only a marginal candidate for the practice squad due to his lacking upside. But he could bolster competition and at least give the Falcons something else to look at this summer. If he did land a practice squad spot he could assume the No. 3 role next year with the hope that in three or so years he could replace Wilson as the No. 2. But he's definitely not an upgrade.
Only for a team that really wants a long-term clipboard holder is POtts worth a look at the end of the seventh round. Otherwise, he's only an undrafted candidate.
1-poor, 2-weak, 3-above average, 4-very good, 5-elite
Arm Strength: 3.0
Decision Making: 3.0
Pocket Awareness: 2.0
"Vincere scis, Hannibal, victoria uti nescis" -- Maharbal, 216 B.C.E.