Playoffs 2016 Season

All things related to the Atlanta Falcons, NFL and pro football related.
dwmyers
Posts: 15
Joined: Sat Jul 25, 2015 11:27 am

Playoffs 2016 Season

Postby dwmyers » Sun Jan 08, 2017 9:15 pm

Around this time of year I calculate playoff odds, and I have a system I determined by doing logistic regressions of parameters until I found three that were significant to > 95%. I'll note most offensive and defensive stats aren't that predictive. But three stats are. Home field advantage, strength of schedule, and previous playoff experience. The nitty gritty is on my blog.

But to note, by my formulas Atlanta is seen as having no playoff experience in the past three years and Seattle has some. But Seattle played the weakest schedule of any NFC team. So the formula predicts a Falcons win, with a 3.5 point margin.

D-

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