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 Post subject: QB Class Wide Open after Geno Smith's slip-up in Bowl
PostPosted: Sat Dec 29, 2012 11:50 pm 
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http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/draft/blog ... tripe-bowl

QB Class Wide Open After Smith's Slip-ups in Pinstripe Bowl
By Rob Rang | The Sports Xchange/CBSSports.com
December 29, 2012 8:38 pm ET

The conditions and an active Syracuse defense made things difficult on Smith (No. 12). (US Presswire)

A disappointing performance in Saturday's Pinstripe Bowl from West Virginia quarterback Geno Smith will drop his NFL draft stock and trigger a race between a group of rather underwhelming candidates to be the first passer selected in the 2013 NFL draft.

Smith, playing Syracuse for the first time since a humbling upset loss to the Orangemen last October, was sacked for one safety and drew a flag for intentional grounding for another in a 38-14 loss on the snow-covered turf of Yankee Stadium.

Smith's statistics weren't bad (16/24 for 187 yards, two TDs/0 INTs) but they were significantly inflated by three big plays to Stedman Bailey that, after closer review, weren't as impressive in reality as they are in print.

Each of the first two completions, good for 32 (and a touchdown) and 59 yards, respectively, came off of quick screens in which Smith soft-tossed the ball just a few yards. Smith threw what looked like a well-placed deep ball down the left sideline to Bailey for a 29 yard touchdown in the third quarter but the throw was made easier when the Syracuse defender covering Bailey lost his footing, leaving the WVU pass-catcher alone for the uncontested reception. Other than these three plays, Smith completed 13 passes for a total of 67 yards in the final game he'll play for West Virginia.

Statitics, of course, can be bent to prove just about anything in football but the reality is Smith made troubling mental and physical errors against Syracuse. He failed to recognize the blitz off the right side that led to his taking the sack for the first safety. Worse, he was not consistently accurate in this game, short-hopping intermediate routes down the middle and the sideline and sailing a deep ball far outof bounds against single coverage.

To be fair to Smith (and Syracuse quarterback Ryan Nassib), the conditions weren't favorable. It was snowing throughout the game and the moisture made for poor footing and a slick ball. Both teams dropped several well-thrown passes and there were botched center-quarterback exchanges from both sides, as well.

It wasn't such terrible conditions, however, that the talent evaluators in attendance won't grade the quarterbacks harshly, especially Smith, who has previously struggled in poor weather.

For the West Virginia passer, Saturday was the complete opposite of the eye-popping performance nearly a year ago that sparked his rise to the top of the quarterback charts.

Boasting better size, arm strength, athleticism and statistics than preseason darling Matt Barkley, the 6-3, 215 pound Smith shot up past the USC Trojans' star to the top of NFLDraftScout.com's board. While Barkley and Arkansas' Tyler Wilson were adjusting to inexperienced supporting casts, Smith started off the regular season just the way he'd begun 2012, by shredding defenses. Over a six game stretch extending from last year's 70-33 demolishing of Clemson in the Orange Bowl to a rousing victory over Texas in October 6, Smith was magnificent, tossing 31 touchdowns and zero interceptions and leading WVU to an undefeated record.

Texas Tech provided the blueprint for shutting down the mighty West Virginia offense a week later, however, by pressuring Smith early and limiting the run-after-catch ability of Bailey and his Biletnikof-winning teammate Tavon Austin. The Mountaineers would lose next four games and, as it turns out, six of their final eight.

The perception -- whether deserved or not -- will be that Smith failed to lead the Mountaineers to victories in six of their last games.

The 2013 class of quarterbacks is lacking in the "sure-things" of recent years. The tight rankings could force Smith to play in the Senior Bowl or another prominent all-star game to stabilize his stock. If so, it could make it the first time since then-USC star Carson Palmer cemented erased any doubt that that was the nation's top prospect by dazzling scouts with a strong week in Mobile in 2003.

Regardless of whether Smith elects to play one last game with the Mountaineers' helmet or wait for the workout sessions from the Combine and/or his Pro Day, nervous NFL decision-makers are anxious to see a quarterback -- any quarterback -- pull away in the race to April.

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 Post subject: Re: QB Class Wide Open after Geno Smith's slip-up in Bowl
PostPosted: Mon Dec 31, 2012 12:05 am 
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Man it would suck to be the Chiefs number one pick and you will probably be forced to take a DE or OLB or a O-lineman when none of those prospects are elite anyway. Then two years back to back with good QB prospects you get the number one pick when the QB class has a bunch of questions.

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 Post subject: Re: QB Class Wide Open after Geno Smith's slip-up in Bowl
PostPosted: Mon Dec 31, 2012 3:20 am 
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I haven't finished scouting yet, but of the QBs I've seen, the only one that deserves to be a Top 10 pick from what I've seen is Barkley.

The positive thing for the Chiefs is that they aren't devoid of talent. They have a good RB, a good OL, some decent options at WR (even if they lose Bowe), a good TE, a really strong group of LBs, a No. 1 CB, and a top end S. This is a team that if they can get some decent QB play, they could be in the playoff hunt next year (assuming Mr. Crennel is gone).

I think Barkley is good enough to think that he could be that guy. They are probably the first No. 1 overall pick that should not be in "rebuilding" mode. The Chiefs really don't have 2-14 talent IMO. I mean was Cassel really any worse this year than he was in '09? They were 4-12 then. So you gotta figure that 2-game difference is just coaching (Crennel vs. Haley). If you figure Cassel also cost them 2 or 3 games vs. the average NFL starter (Advanced NFL Stats puts his and Quinn's combined Win Probably Added at -2.6), you really have what is probably a team talented enough that with just Average QB play/coaching should be 7-9.

Which basically, if Barkley is only "Sam Bradford good" then he should be able to get them to that. If he's even better then maybe they are 9-7 and in the playoff hunt next year.

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