I've heard the scenarios about Denver wanting a QB too lately, and I think it's all a smokescreen. I mean anything is possible. But to me Devner would be retarded to use anything more than a 4th or 5th round pick on a QB this year. They have almost no good 4-3 personnel on the WORST defense in the league, and they are worried about QB? They have Orton, Tebow, and Quinn. There is nothing about that trio that doesn't deserve one year to get the job done. If they blow, then Denver has carte blanch to blow a 1st or 2nd round pick on a QB next year. Maybe they luck up and get a guy like Luck. But if you're a team like Denver, unless Dalton/Ponder/Locker slide to you in the middle 2nd round, then you're wasting your time.
Here are the facts as I see them. There is only 1 player on the Broncos roster right now that is projected to be a starter this year, and that player is likely to remain a starter by 2013. That player of course is Elvis Dumervil. The other 10 players that will make up their starting defense over the next year or two is completely expendable. Again, they would be retarded to waste their time on a QB, especially if that means trading up to get one.
As for Reed, I like him as a prospect. Enjoyed watching him play at Arizona with his above average speed and high motor. And he was a guy that I considered a mid-to-late round sleeper throughout the fall. But his stock has soared since the end of the year, now to a point where I think he's overrated. IMO, he's not a better NFL prospect than Biermann is to date. I think Reed can be a good No. 3 DE, but that IMO is all he'll ever really be. I don't think he's big or fast enough to be an impact pass rusher. He can be a good pass rusher that like Biermann can reliably give you 3-5 sacks off the bench. But anything more than that is probably pushing it. I don't think it's crazy that 3-4 teams are high enough on him to draft him in the 2nd round (I still think the 1st is a reach). But I think it's silly for 4-3 teams to be seeing him as anything more than 4th round fodder.
People compare him to Clay Matthews, because they both have almost identical size/frame, similar speed/athleticism, similar high motor, and similar long blonde hair. But he's not Clay Matthews. Matthews, a guy I wasn't super high on coming out of USC at least had experience playing LB and playing in space. He played in coverage, and was a good run defender from the LB position. I do not see the same things from Reed on tape. So while he might have comparable potential to Matthews as a pass rusher from the OLB position, it's much less likely that he will impact as quickly as Matthews has because he's moving to a new position.
Again I like Reed as a good No. 3, below average No. 2. That's not a player that I want to use a 1st or 2nd round pick on.
"Vincere scis, Hannibal, victoria uti nescis" -- Maharbal, 216 B.C.E.