I don't think you can pick need over a "BEst Player Available" guy like Williams. IMO, Williams is a sure-fire Top 10 pick, so him being available at #15 is a long shot unless he tears up his knee between now and April. He's just too good to fall that far in the draft.
I think the Falcons in hindsight will say they made a mistake not taking Kevin Jones in 2004 rather taking Jenkins. Jones would have been a great back in this scheme, and iMO was far and away a better overall player than Jenkins.
Although I expect Dunn and Duckett to be back in 2006, how long they play after that season on this team is totally up in the air. Althoguh Dunn was outstanding this past year, if he doesn't quite follow up a career year with another solid year (measuring stick maybe less than 1000 yards), then the Falcons may decide he's gone after this year. But a lot will depend on how the Falcons deal with his current contract and the league-wide salary cap sitch in 2007.
Duckett is a free agent after this year (if the cap is extended), and unless the Falcons guarantee him the lead role in the offense (which may only occur if Dunn is cut), I doubt he stays. Not when a team like Pittsburgh may be willing to pay him huge gobs of money.
What then do the Falcons do at RB? Maybe, DeAndra Cobb will have developed enough at that point that he can be a viable option. Now, I believe with Vick under center and our OL, we can stick any halfway decent RB back there and have a relatively successful ground attack, but having a 1st or 2nd round talent back there makes it so much better.
When you look at POrtis' bests from his 2 years in Denver and compare then to Mike Anderson/Tatum Bell's numbers from this year, you see that (if carries were equal), Portis' would have resulted in 331 more yards, 3 more TDs, 4 more big plays (runs of 20+ yards), and 16 more first downs than the Anderson/Bell duo. Not a huge increase, but significant.
The whole "BPA" philosophy is not exclusive to who is the best player available regardless of position, but who is the Best Player Available that helps your team. I think with the situations in New Orleans (Ricky & Deuce) and Buffalo (Henry & McGahee), it proves that taking a RB when you already are "set" at that position is not a bad move. IN fact, both teams have benefited much more than they would have if they sought help at other positions.
We are living year to year at this point at RB. If we can get a guy that can secure that position for 5-7 years down the road, then why wouldn't you make a move.
"Vincere scis, Hannibal, victoria uti nescis" -- Maharbal, 216 B.C.E.