South Florida Senior
PROS: Has a nice first step and will flash edge speed. Will show some potential as a bull rusher because of his first step. Has a good motor and can make plays in pursuit. Wraps up and does a decent job making the stop in the open field.
CONS: Lacks strength and needs to work on getting off blocks. Doesn't show many pass rush moves, relying on inconsistent burst. Doesn't always show the explosive first step to turn the corner. Doesn't have good hips or body control to project well to linebacker. Lacks recognition and can get caught out of position in space vs. the run. Gets chipped by backs too easily and gets engulfed by blockers at the point of attack.
OVERVIEW: Selvie is a player that may have gotten less attractive as a prospect each time I saw him. Has the size you like in a potential linebacker, but probably a more natural fit at end. He had a monster sophomore year, with 14.5 sacks and 31.5 tackles for loss. But production dropped to 5.5 sacks and 13.5 TFLs as a junior, but he was hampered with injuries all year long. Then only had 3.5 sacks and 9.5 TFLs as a senior, without the injury excuse.
NFL FORECAST: You like Selvie because he works hard, gives good effort, and doesn't quit. He should be able to stick on an NFL roster, even if it's just on special teams. But a year ago I thought he had Freeney-like potential, but not so sure this year. Didn't see much of anything to make me think he'd be an impact pass rusher from this past season. He's a tweener in terms of his size. But I think he's an undersized end that would do well to bulk up some more to try and be a situational guy. But he'd be limited in that role because he'll never be a good run stopper at the point of attack. He may have greater upside as a linebacker, but doesn't possess the natural skills to make me believe he'll develop there. He could play in a 3-4 scheme, but I think he'll be a career backup in that scheme as well. Isn't an instinctual run defender and will struggle in coverage because of his poor hips. At this point, while his potential might be better at linebacker, I think his ability to impact at some point in his first three seasons will only come as a situational pass rusher at end. The potential and ability he showed as a sophomore and flashed as a junior makes me believe that with good coaching, that ability could re-emerge. But I wouldn't bet on it because it evaporated by the time his senior year rolled around.
ATL FORECAST: Selvie is best off competing as a situational pass rusher for the Falcons. But unless he can rediscover his sophomore ability, quickness, and explosiveness, then he won't add much to the Falcons rotation. He probably wouldn't be a better an option than Sidbury and would be buried on the depth chart to the point that he could only impact for the team in his first few years if he can stick on special teams. He has the motor and resume for the coaches to like him, but he'd be hard-pressed to jump either Sidbury or Biermann on the depth chart.
VALUE: Last year, he seemed like a solid Top 20 prospect. But now, I don't think I'd take him before the fourth round and even then he's a project. In truth, his NFL career may more closely mirror a fifth or sixth rounder.
"Vincere scis, Hannibal, victoria uti nescis" -- Maharbal, 216 B.C.E.