And Matt Stafford threw for 5000 yards and 41 TDs in 2011. Does that make him a good QB? Didn't you also consider Matt Schaub a Top 10 QB for a good deal of the last 4-5 years?
Dalton isn't terrible, but he isn't good either. Don't let his fantasy numbers fool you into believing that he's a pretty good QB. At best, he's the 19th or 20th best QB in the league. And that's worth $$$
The only numbers that count is the guaranteed money really, isn't it?
Dalton only has 17 mil guaranteed. Stafford has 41M and change.
Yeah, it's 17 too many. Sanchez got only $20M guaranteed? Not so bad, right? Except it locked the Jets into a 2nd year that they had no business locking themselves into with Sanchez. That's the issue. Don't guarantee $$$ even a small bit to an unproven player, especially an unproven player that for most of his career has been a below average player at his position.
Again, I'll point out this is the EXACT SAME SCENARIO that the Falcons had with Sam Baker. Oh, $14 million guaranteed isn't that much right? The contract the Falcons should have given Baker should have been one that they could've easily gotten out of after 1 year given Baker's history. The EXACT SAME thing applies to Dalton. But now they are locked into him unless they want to pay him $10 million to NOT play for them. Which is the exact same situation the Falcons would've been this offseason with Baker if they had done like many here wanted and dumped him.
One of the biggest blunders people make today is thinking that given out gobs of $$$ is OK because all these 5 adn 6 year deals are really jsut 2 year deals. You want to know why that is? It's because they're BAD CONTRACTS!
Sure he could regress but he might get better? Seems rather consistent,
for a team that was maybe the only team worse than the Falcons for about 35 years?
Yeah, the Bengals of the 90s were a horribly run team. But the Bengals of the 2000s haven't been so bad, mostly mediocre. They were mostly for the Carson Palmer Era (2004-10) because they didn't have a real front office or scouting department. Since then, they've done an oustanding building up that to a professional level, but now are settling for mediocrity at QB with Dalton. As I said last year, if Matt Ryan had Dalton's supporting cast, he'd be 14-2 or 15-1 every season.
Again, I'm not saying that Dalton won't improve. I'm saying that the smart team would've made him earn it.
If you can provide evidence which contradicts that conclusion, please post it.
My evidence is actually watching guys play, not just relying on their fantasy numbers to justify my ratings.
Matt Ryan put up great numbers last year, but at no point during the season was his play that great. But even today, I'm sure you'll still argue that Ryan was a Top 5 QB because Football Outsider has his DVOA really high or something.
Watch the games. Yes, Stafford is a 2nd tier QB, but he's near the bottom of that group. Why? Because his mechanics are horrible. GO back and watch the Falcons-Lions game in 2012 at the end of the season. Stafford cost his team that game because of his horrific mechanics. Top QBs don't do that.
Stafford gets away with A LOT because he has Megatron. Every time Calvin Johnson makes a highlight reel catch in double coverage, it makes people forget that Stafford forced a pass into double coverage. Every time he side arms an 8-yard throw which causes his WR or TE to drop the pass because he's making them work too hard.
Why is Dalton 19th or 20th?
Because Brees, Rodgers, both Mannings, Brady, Ryan, Flacco, Stafford, Cutler, Newton, Wilson, Luck, Kaepernick, Alex Smith, Rivers, Roethlisberger, Romo, Foles, RG3, Bradford, and Palmer are all better than him. That's 21 QBs I just named. Not including your boy Schaub. Or Vick. And that doesn't include Bridgewater, Manziel, Tannehill, and Bortles who all have more potential than he does.
But at the end of the day, the NFL does boil down to numbers.
No, it doesn't. People that think that way are bound to make huge mistakes like the Bengals did.
But BTW, Dalton was 18th in DVOA last year..