Arkansas State Senior
40: 4.62 (Campus)
PROS: Has good power and does a nice job picking up yards after contact because he keeps his feet moving. Does a good job running downhill. Shows nice balance, patience, and vision a a runner. Flashes ability in pass protection, able to pick up blitz. Has nice hands and looks the ball in as a receiver before turning upfield.
CONS: A straight-line runner that is not very elusive and won't make guys miss. Lacks ideal burst and lateral quickness which often leaves him unable to take advantage of his vision.
OVERVIEW: He's a well-built power runner that might have a future in the pros as a reserve. Was a four-year starter that led team in rushing every year. Production dipped as a senior, following three 1000+ yard seasons with a YPC over 5 in each. As a senior, had only 723 yards and averaged 4.3 yards per carry. But did manage career high 12 TDs and 18 receptions.
NFL FORECAST: As a pure runner, you like his power, but he doesn't seem like he's going to be anything more than an option on short yardage. And even then, he probably won't be great, at least not good enough to pull the starter off the field. But his ability to impact in the passing game definitely helps his stock. I would compare him in terms of his NFL potential to a player like Gary Russell and Jason Snelling. He's not quite as quick as Russell, but can have a similar role with a team. And like both of those two players, teams might be more liable to move him to fullback where his long-term potential is better. If he can play on special teams, he should stick right away. Otherwise, he's a guy that will get chances in camps, but until he bulks up and shows ability as a lead blocker, then I'm not sure he'll be able to make a roster. Teams tend to prefer taller fullbacks, but with his short stature and frame he won't need to bulk up too much, and could probably get by as a lead blocker in the 225-235 pound range.
ATL FORECAST: Arnold I think could endear himself to coaches because he could be a very poor man's Michael Turner. But he isn't going to beat out anyone on the Falcons roster in competition. He's good enough that he coudl stick on the practice squad, and potentially get another crack in 2011. But his niche is very similar to that of Snelling's, and it's doubtful he'll ever be able to overcome that. So unless the Falcons dropped Snelling in the next year or two, Arnold has limited future with the team.
VALUE: He's a bit too much of a project to merit a draft pick because he's a tweener that doesn't have a lot of upside. But a team shoudl definitely bring him to camp and give him a look.
"Vincere scis, Hannibal, victoria uti nescis" -- Maharbal, 216 B.C.E.