PROS: Shows good speed and burst through hole. Works well when running off-tackle or outside. Shows nice vision and decent footwork in traffic. Has nice hands. Not afraid to lower shoulder and deliver blow to defender.
CONS: Needs to bulk up more and not a threat to break many tackles. Tends to run upright because of his tall, lean frame. Needs to be better between the tackles as he has a tendency to duck his head prior to contact. Can be tentative about contact in pass protection when taking on bigger linemen.
OVERVIEW: He's a speed back that doesn't have a ton of speed. Split carries with Donald Brown as a sophomore and was the lead rusher (828 yards vs. Brown's 821). But then got injured early in 2008 (sprained ankle), and lost his job to Brown. He was suspended at the end of the year due to a drunk driving charge. Came back this past year and split carries with Jordan Todman, finishing 2nd with 1093 yards.
NFL FORECAST: Dixon has a chance to compete as a third down rusher, but I don't see a lot of upside with him. His build and playing style is comparable to that of Jerious Norwood. But the key difference is that he lacks Norwood's top speed and explosive capabilities, so it's hard seeing him becoming as successful a No. 2 back as Norwood has been. He'll have a much better chance if he plays behind a good zone-blocking line. But even then, I doubt he'll rise more than third on the depth chart. If he can impact on special teams, he'll have a chance to stick and develop as a third down back. But at this point, I think he's a player that is more likely to spend a few seasons on a practice squad before landing in Canada or the Arena League, where he would probably do a much better job sticking.
ATL FORECAST: He would just be a body in camp for the Falcons, since he's unlilkely to do much more than make hte practice squad. And he doesn't have the long-term upside to make you think the Falcons would really try to develop him beyond a single season. Unless he showed up his first summer and lit things on fire, then he might be a decent option to replace Norwood. But that doesn't seem likely, since his game would be like taking Norwood and making him two steps slower, and a less effective receiver and blocker. Not a great recipe for success.
VALUE: Some team might pull the trigger on Dixon in the seventh round, but he's more in line with the talent that goes undrafted each year.
"Vincere scis, Hannibal, victoria uti nescis" -- Maharbal, 216 B.C.E.