Tuesday, May 23, 2006

Pudge's Power Rankings - May

In light of the rankings published by Pete Prisco of CBS SportsLine, I've opted to try my hand at this thing people like to call "power rankings." Mr. Prisco has the Falcons ranked something like 22nd in his rankings. They are so low because of his lack of confidence in Vick's ability to lead a competent passing attack. Now I wouldn't quite rate the Falcons as a Top 5 or 10 team, but a ranking of No. 22 basically indicates that in Mr. Prisco's eyes, the Falcons would be lucky to make the playoffs this year. I sincerely disagree.

These do not rank teams from best to worst in the league in that strict a sense. It is rather a ranking system in order to illustrate which teams heading into the summer seemingly have the easiest paths to the Super Bowl. I believe that the Super Bowl reps this year will be two of the Top 6 teams. These ratings are determined by a teams' offensive (OFF) and defensive (DEF) capabilities. The OVERALL is the most important determinant, and is a combination of offense, defensive, coaching, and special teams grades. But emphasis is placed on teams that run the football well and stop the run as well. Also these grades of these respective areas of the team are based on their performance in 2005, and reasonable improvements projected in 2006 based on the off-season changes. Also a team's strength of schedule (SCHED) is a significant factor as well. The higher their schedule grade is the easier schedule they have. It's not determined by last year's wins and losses, but rather by the overall grades of this ranking system. The overall POWER RATING comes from factoring the Overall and Sched parts together. All these are based on a 10-point scale with 10 being the highest and 1 the lowest.

I'm hoping that until the season starts, I'll be able to update this list about once a month. And then once the season begins, I could do it every week.

RNKTEAMOFFDEFOVERALLSCHEDPOWER
RATING
18.57.07.907.507.79
28.57.98.276.387.73
36.58.47.209.007.71
47.26.47.338.637.70
59.08.07.607.887.68
66.88.98.135.637.42
78.46.87.935.637.28
85.86.46.807.887.11
95.98.47.007.137.04
108.55.77.136.006.81
116.37.96.936.006.67
127.47.47.005.636.61
136.56.27.075.256.55
146.26.36.436.756.52
156.48.57.474.136.51
169.55.36.835.636.49
177.85.26.506.386.47
184.75.86.635.256.24
198.05.86.973.756.05
207.45.86.504.886.04
212.76.25.008.255.93
224.75.84.708.255.71
235.93.25.276.755.69
244.33.74.977.135.58
255.33.75.435.635.49
264.75.25.575.255.48
274.24.74.637.135.35
286.83.15.076.005.33
293.24.74.607.135.32
306.92.65.734.135.28
313.84.34.307.135.11
325.23.23.876.004.48

Wednesday, May 03, 2006

A cold, harsh reality

Well, it's that time of year again. The draft is over, and we've spent the past 48 hours or so revelling in grading the picks, and seeing what undrafted guys we pick up. Now reality sets in and for the football fan, that reality is cold and harsh. For those unlucky few of us that aren't in good travelling distance, we won't be able to see the rookies first hand at May mini-camps and what not. We'll listen unabatedly to what the sportswriter and other fans say about it, but frankly, what a player does in May and June matters little to what he can contribute in September. Two very good examples: Alvis Whitted and Roddy White. I recall many people being dazzled by Mr. Whitted a few years back by his speed and hands in the early summer mini-camps. But once the pads went on in August, he disappeared. Roddy also was a player that dazzled the coaching staff from his early work, but when it came to what he could contribute early in the year, it was nothing. Granted, Roddy had some other excuses namely an injury and contract holdout that slowed down his momentum. But my point is that August and September is a long way away from May and June in football terms, just like December and January is a whole different epoch compared to September as well. So I'm not going to get too psyched if Jimmy Williams dazzles in mini-camps, because it means basically squat when it comes to what he's going to do against the Panthers on opening day.

My lone solace may be watching more NBA playoffs, but I'm not going to be happy about it.

On pseudo-Falcon related news, I'm hearing indications that many are expecting a holdout from new Saints running back Reggie Bush. This is stocked under pseudo-Falcon news, because like it or not Bush's contract status greatly effects the Falcons. A holdout obviously means Reggie misses camp, and missing camp for a running back equates to a slow start to the season. And a pain in my stomach has been steadily increasing since the past Saturday on a fear of a "coming out" party for Mr. Bush come Week 3 on Monday Night. Then the Falcons will get a taste of facing the sort of deadly offensive presence that we've been serving up to opponents the past five years in the form of Michael Vick.