Monday, June 30, 2008

Ranking the NFL: Defensive Lines

The defensive line grades are up. I tried not to over-emphasize one great player, and tried to give credit to teams a bit more that had multiple impact players along their lines. Depth and the strength of the rotation matters as well. I tried my best not to make too big a bias towards stopping the run or rushing the passer. I think I found a pretty good balance, but if there is any skewing, it's probably towards pass rush. Total points awarded for defensive lines was 48 points.
RNK TEAM        PTS  GRADE
1 Vikings 40 A-
2 Patriots 33 B+
3 Bears 32 B
4 Ravens 30 B
5 Saints 30 B
6 Colts 29 B
7 Giants 29 B
8 Steelers 29 B
9 Chargers 28 B-
10 Packers 28 B-
11 Bills 27 B-
12 Eagles 27 B-
13 Seahawks 27 B-
14 Buccaneers 26 B-
15 Texans 26 B-
16 Titans 26 B-
17 Browns 24 C+
18 Cowboys 24 C+
19 Jaguars 24 C+
20 Panthers 24 C+
21 Rams 23 C+
22 49ers 22 C+
23 Bengals 22 C+
24 Jets 22 C+
25 Broncos 21 C
26 Cardinals 21 C
27 Redskins 21 C
28 Falcons 20 C
29 Lions 20 C
30 Chiefs 19 C
31 Raiders 17 C-
32 Dolphins 15 C-
Why are the Falcons 28th? Simply put, because outside Abraham, no one has emerged as an impact player. The Falcons have pretty good depth, but they need one of their three other starters to emerge as a playmaker. Personally, I think you'll see significant improvement from Anderson and Babineaux this year, but I'm not sure it's going to be enough where the Falcons defensive line is considered good in relative times.

Friday, June 27, 2008

The Sam Baker Experiment

A large degree of Falcon fans were very skeptical of Sam Baker's ability to be an effective left tackle on the NFL level when the team traded up to get him in the first round. And you can count me as one of them.

Look, I think Baker is a solid player. He was very productive at USC, and I think in general he's a very good blocker and offensive linemen. But that doesn't mean he can stick at left tackle, which takes a unique player to be effective there.

It seems likely that Sam Baker will get the chance to start for this team this year at left tackle. It seems the coaching staff is doing everything in their power right now to make that possibility a certainty. So I wonder, if/when Baker takes over the starting job, how long a leash should he be given?

I'm not outright predicting that Baker will fail, I'm just asking if he does, when do you pull the plug? How much time is too much (or too little) time before you move on and go in a different direction?

From my perspective it's one year for Baker. Look I'm not saying completely give up on him after one season. But unless Baker flashes real potential as a starter during his rookie season, I think the Falcons need to start planning on making a move. No, Baker doesn't need to be the next incarnation of Tony Boselli or even Joe Thomas right away, but if he's going to struggle and give up a bunch of sacks week after week, then I say pull the plug on him at left tackle, and try him at a new position.

Personally, I'm more confident of Baker's ability to play inside than outside, due to his short arms. Yeah, I know that can be a bit overblown. There are plenty of successful short-armed left tackles in the league. But it's not the measure of his arms per se, it's the fact that he plays short-armed. Other guys with short arms, it's not so obvious when you watch them play, and they make up for it with superior technique and footwork. Which, in Baker's case I think he can (and hopefully will) be able to do. His best asset is his technique and footwork and hopefully that continues to be the case.

But I think Baker could be a very effective guard, or perhaps even a Pro Bowl center. He's not particularly strong so he doesn't really have the strength to match up with big defensive tackles inside, but at center, his lack of strength and inability to push the pile won't be an issue.

All I'm saying is that if Baker struggles at left tackle this year, much in the same way that Justin Blalock did at left guard last year, then I think in 2009 he needs to be moved inside. I don't want to see this team's and Baker's time wasted just so that the powers that be in Atlanta can justify their selection of Baker if from the start it's apparent that it's not working. It's not often that the Oakland Raiders are seen as a team worth emulating, but in this case we should learn from their experience with Robert Gallery.

Hey and look on the bright side, even if Baker struggles mightily this season, perhaps he'll wind up being the guy that ends Todd McClure's "reign of terror" at center. ;)

Thursday, June 26, 2008

Ranking the NFL: Offensive Lines

Okay, now it's time to rank the offensive lines around the league. This position gets a full 48 points in value. I must say though that these rankings are less about production, and more about talent level. And it also does skewer towards pass protection more so than run blocking. There are some teams at the bottom that run the ball very well, but are basically at the bottom because they can't pass block.
RNK TEAM       PTS  GRADE
1 Chargers 38 A-
2 Patriots 37 A-
3 Eagles 32 B
4 Cowboys 32 B
5 Buccaneers 32 B
6 Colts 31 B
7 Packers 30 B
8 Redskins 30 B
9 Titans 29 B-
10 Seahawks 27 B-
11 Vikings 27 B-
12 Giants 25 C+
13 Browns 25 C+
14 BEngals 25 C+
15 Jets 24 C+
16 Saints 23 C+
17 Broncos 23 C+
18 Jaguars 22 C+
19 Bills 22 C+
20 Rams 22 C+
21 Cardinals 20 C
22 Panthers 20 C
23 Bears 19 C
24 Texans 19 C
25 Ravens 19 C
26 Steelers 18 C
27 Dolphins 16 C-
28 Lions 16 C-
29 Falcons 16 C-
30 Chiefs 15 C-
31 49ers 14 C-
32 Raiders 14 C-
Why are the Falcons 29th? Some of you are probably thinking they should be 32nd, but I don't think the Falcons offensive line is as bad as it often gets accused of being. It's bad, but not terrible. I think injuries really hurt us last year. But the main reason we aren't at the very bottom is I believe our depth is superior to most of the other teams near the bottom of the list. Frankly, as far as our depth goes, we should probably be in the top half of teams. Unfortunately, our starters (i.e. the guys that matter) just aren't that good.

Thursday, June 19, 2008

Ranking the NFL: Tight Ends

I probably should have just lumped this in with receivers, but I wanted to sort of factor in the run blocking aspect of this position. And instead of strictly grading teams on how good a group of receivers they havee, I tried to factor in guys that can push the pile as well. Although I must say, it is still biased towards receivers, since I counted more in favor of a guy who is a top-tier pass catcher than a guy that is one of the better run blockers for this position group. Maximum points is 24.
RNK TEAM       PTS GRADE
1 Chargers 19 A-
2 Cowboys 17 B+
3 Giants 16 B
4 Titans 15 B
5 Browns 15 B
6 Steelers 15 B
7 Chiefs 15 B
8 Colts 15 B
9 Rams 14 B-
10 Texans 14 B-
11 Ravens 14 B-
12 Redskins 14 B-
13 Jaguars 13 B-
14 Bears 13 B-
15 Jets 13 B-
16 Broncos 13 B-
17 Buccaneers 13 B-
18 Saints 12 C+
19 Bengals 12 C+
20 Vikings 11 C+
21 Patriots 11 C+
22 Eagles 11 C+
23 49ers 11 C+
24 Cardinals 9 C
25 Dolphins 8 C
26 Lions 8 C
27 Seahawks 7 C-
28 Packers 7 C-
29 Bills 7 C-
30 Raiders 7 C-
31 Falcons 6 D+
32 Panthers 4 D
Why are the Falcons so low? While Hartsock, Milner, and whoever should fill in ably as far as the Falcons are concerned in the ground game, they still leave a lot to be desired as receivers. And at some point in the year, you are going to have use for a tight end that can open up the middle of the field in the passing game. And that's something the Falcons clearly lack, unless either of those players can come out of their shell and blossom.

Monday, June 16, 2008

Ranking the NFL: Wide Receivers

Here are my rankings of the wide receivers. I just factored in each team's projected top four wideouts, since those are typically the only guys that get extensive playing time in a given year. Maximum points for this position is 36.
RNK TEAM      PTS  GRADE
1 Colts 30 A-
2 Patriots 28 B+
3 Cardinals 27 B+
4 Cowboys 24 B
5 Packers 24 B
6 Lions 24 B
7 Browns 23 B
8 Chargers 23 B
9 Steelers 21 B-
10 Texans 21 B-
11 Bengals 20 B-
12 Giants 20 B-
13 Seahawks 20 B-
14 Buccaneers 19 C+
15 Panthers 19 C+
16 Saints 19 C+
17 Broncos 19 C+
18 Jaguars 18 C+
19 Vikings 18 C+
20 Jets 17 C+
21 Eagles 17 C+
22 Falcons 17 C+
23 Rams 16 C
24 Ravens 16 C
25 49ers 15 C
26 Raiders 14 C
27 Bills 14 C
28 Redskins 13 C-
29 Bears 12 C-
30 Dolphins 11 C-
31 Titans 11 C-
32 Chiefs 8 D+
Why are the Falcons so low? Despite my feelings that wide receiver is one of our stronger positions, that is mostly relative to the rest of the team. Roddy White is solid as they come, but it remains to be seen if Robinson, Jenkins, and/or Douglas can step up and fill the mantle as a true blue No. 2 NFL receiver. And while I think each have that potential, I need to see it before I start indicating it in rankings.

Thursday, June 12, 2008

Ranking the NFL: Running Backs

Okay, now that the rankings for the quarterbacks have sunk in, it's time to move on to the running backs. Depth is a bit more important at this position than it is at the quarterback position, since we're seemingly now in an era of football where most teams can't go through a season without being 2-deep at this position. This also factors in a team's fullback as well. The maximum points for this position is 48.

RNK TEAM PTS GRADE
1 Jaguars 39 A-
2 Vikings 36 B+
3 Steelers 32 B
4 Chargers 31 B
5 49ers 31 B
6 Ravens 30 B
7 Redskins 30 B
8 Eagles 27 B-
9 Cowboys 27 B-
10 Giants 27 B-
11 Bengals 27 B-
12 Colts 26 B-
13 Rams 24 C+
14 Chiefs 24 C+
15 Jets 24 C+
16 Titans 24 C+
17 Buccaneers 24 C+
18 Falcons 24 C+
19 Bills 23 C+
20 Raiders 23 C+
21 Saints 23 C+
22 Panthers 22 C+
23 Dolphins 21 C
24 Browns 21 C
25 Patriots 20 C
26 Packers 20 C
27 Bears 19 C
28 Cardinals 18 C
29 Seahawks 18 C
30 Texans 16 C-
31 Broncos 14 C-
32 Lions 12 D+

Why are the Falcons so average? You might be wondering. Simply because Michael Turner is a far less proven feature back than most of the other teams ranked ahead of the Falcons have, and Jerious Norwood while an excellent complementary runner is not a guy that can handle a bulk of carries. A while both players have enormous potential to catapult this position into one of the better units in the league, it simply remains to be seen if this coaching staff will be able to take advantage of that potential.

Monday, June 09, 2008

Ranking the NFL: Quarterbacks

Okay, you often see the so-called experts on the big football sites have their rankings of the entire league by position. Well, since it's June and there's nothing better to do, I'll try my hand at this as well.

At the end it should be a good measure of which teams are the best. Although I should say that this will really only be a ranking of talent, and not really a prediction of how well each of these teams will perform this year. There's always a team that despite having only average talent, manages to outperform that for a variety of reasons. ANd there is always at least one team that is very talented that vastly underachieves those performances.

Each position will be weighted a certain amount of points, at the end the maximum being 500 (although I already know no team will reach that figure). For example, being strong at quarterback will earn you more points than being strong at tight end, based off my zany belief that have a great QB is going to win you more games than having a great TE. At the end, based on these rankings we should be able to say that this team has the most talent or whatever.

And while I welcome your critiques and comments, just remember this is a experiment to curb boredom over the next few weeks, so don't take it too seriously.

Okay, enough talk, let's get down to the quarterbacks. The maximum points earned is 60 points for this position. I put a letter grade also to make it easier to understand how much the point values correspond to.

RNK TEAM PTS GRADE
1 Colts 54 A
2 Patriots 52 A-
3 Cowboys 45 B+
4 Steelers 44 B+
5 Saints 41 B
6 Jaguars 40 B
7 Bengals 38 B
8 Giants 37 B-
9 Eagles 36 B-
10 Chargers 35 B-
11 Buccaneers 34 B-
12 Texans 33 B-
13 Broncos 32 C+
14 Panthers 31 C+
15 Seahawks 31 C+
16 Titans 29 C+
17 Browns 28 C+
18 Rams 28 C+
19 Lions 26 C
20 Redskins 26 C
21 Vikings 25 C
22 Cardinals 24 C
23 Bills 22 C-
24 Packers 21 C-
25 Jets 21 C-
26 Bears 18 C-
27 49ers 16 D+
28 Chiefs 15 D+
29 Ravens 14 D+
30 Dolphins 13 D+
31 Raiders 11 D
32 Falcons 10 D
Why are the Falcons last? Frankly, I think it's a toss-up between Chris Redman, JaMarcus Russell, Josh McCown, and Brodie Croyle will be the league's worst starter this season. And of course I'll agree Redman has upside, don't count me as one of those people that believe he'll reach it. Not to factor in that unlike the Raiders, Dolphins, and Chiefs, their backup situation is a bit better than ours. WE have Ryan, but he's not going to do much this year, at least not in my opinion. Those three other teams at least have No. 2s with some experience.